Climate
Long-range climate
At seasonal range nobody can tell you what Tuesday looks like. What you can know is whether the season is loading toward drought, and with what confidence.
Seasonal drought outlooks, ENSO state and forecast, and decadal temperature trends — issued as briefings.
- Horizon
- 1–12 months, decadal
- Output
- Probabilistic only
- Cadence
- Monthly briefing
- Baseline
- ERA5, 1991–2020
What you get
ENSO state and forecast
El Niño and La Niña phase with probability by season — the single biggest driver of seasonal predictability on the planet.
Seasonal drought
Precipitation and soil-moisture anomaly probabilities by region, for irrigation planning and crop insurance pricing.
Decadal trend
Long-horizon temperature and extreme-frequency shifts for infrastructure and siting decisions with thirty-year lifespans.
